Description

This analysis provides a forecast of MARA prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-01-26 13.291115 15.256589 17.350096 19.739150 22.382960 25.212168 28.461574
2025-02-02 10.996077 13.621912 16.583641 20.148261 24.297573 28.950346 34.536318
2025-02-09 9.222794 12.200522 15.726402 20.161024 25.538108 31.794248 39.567068
2025-02-16 7.520855 10.587838 14.388181 19.364313 25.622574 33.143857 42.769402
2025-02-23 6.429968 9.574578 13.631947 19.134528 26.274966 35.094135 46.661801
2025-03-02 5.465048 8.594151 12.791495 18.675642 26.536257 36.490522 49.840403
2025-03-09 4.764168 7.884248 12.222590 18.490271 27.083787 38.209012 53.421783
2025-03-16 4.098342 7.141068 11.526371 18.052040 27.227408 39.359416 56.256744
2025-03-23 3.683654 6.721990 11.242501 18.145356 28.064010 41.417085 60.306278
2025-03-30 3.283833 6.277814 10.875846 18.077561 28.646043 43.122392 63.906185
2025-04-06 3.000182 5.987523 10.710378 18.279000 29.596792 45.338642 68.235067
2025-04-13 2.744200 5.713513 10.542565 18.454007 30.498437 47.495085 72.520155
2025-04-20 2.582630 5.589155 10.605540 18.987697 31.953054 50.483472 78.059254
2025-04-27 2.404395 5.414450 10.569454 19.356208 33.164620 53.150310 83.205877
2025-05-04 2.178530 5.125025 10.316594 19.357111 33.806601 55.001100 87.228904
2025-05-11 1.851656 4.600336 9.616201 18.581379 33.205364 55.000490 88.579301
2025-05-18 1.647037 4.291776 9.266324 18.357211 33.442961 56.227704 91.715510
2025-05-25 1.435394 3.939748 8.806417 17.912536 33.298992 56.863308 93.982431
2025-06-01 1.281187 3.690079 8.513308 17.732932 33.565323 58.114227 97.172493
2025-06-08 1.115751 3.390849 8.098651 17.308966 33.403296 58.690182 99.351811
2025-06-15 1.022958 3.248045 7.976249 17.399166 34.093041 60.595027 103.564787
2025-06-22 0.923508 3.074492 7.776899 17.333580 34.510523 62.075517 107.154427
2025-06-29 0.857280 2.975109 7.720622 17.528393 35.374804 64.277472 111.887801